Archive for 2007

Is Facebook replacing my blog?10.13.07

I just realized that the last few weeks I have been posting things to Facebook that naturally belong to my blog but since I am spending a lot more time there and I already got more than 100 friends in just four months (it took me more than 3 years to get to 300 contacts in Linkedin so definitely Facebook growth seems to be faster) so I am reaching most of the people I want to communicate with that way. Moreover, I keep my Facebook profile open so you can check my Facebook posts here .

I am also  sort of randomly updating Twitter and I got a plugin into my blog that posts my Twitter activity. I do not know of a Typepad plugin to add my Facebook posts into my blog but if I start doing that, why do I want to continue using my blog?

 

CD

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Attending Mobile 2.0 in San Francisco10.13.07

mobile20logoJust arrived to San Francisco to attend the Mobile 2.0 conference. I am at a panel on mobile user experience with Brian Fling from Blue Flavor (Moderator), Kelly Goto from Gotomedia, Risto Lahdesmaki from Idean Enterprises and Christian Lindholm from Fjord. With all these quality speakers the panel is going to be great, user experience (not just necessarily mobile) has been a big topic since I joined Telefonica R&D and we have set up a UX team in Barcelona to focus on this very important issue where, to say the least, there is room from improvement on what Telefonica is doing.  Obviously, the iPhone is going to be a major topic but I hope that we discuss other things as well.

 

CD

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Telepresence, the future of video conferencing09.11.07

Early this year I had a chance to visit the telepresence system that HP has set up near by Barcelona and later in a trip to Tokyo I saw the one that Cisco had in a NTT showroom of their new generation network. Both systems are very similar, you have a room with a table in a semicircle and in front of you there are three huge (60 inches, probably) plasma screen where you see the other side of the videoconferencing. The speakers are at full size at the screen and they are sitting in a room exactly like yours (their table seems to complete the semicircle of yours), video quality is great as well as audio. The rooms are somehow set up like movie studios, where the lighting and audio conditions have been carefully set so that you get a very good image and sound. Compared to commonly used videoconferencing systems, the notion of reality is way higher and therefore it is more useful than a regular one. However, the cost is huge, they required dedicated fiber connection to each room and as I mentioned, the room itself has to be decorated in a particular way to increase the sensation that you are with the other people in the same room. At work we are prototyping a videoconferencing system using 3D screens from Philips to increase further the perception of reality. I think that we are seeing the beginning of one trend that will develop during the next ten years, telepresence, videoconferencing were the notion of reality and of being in the same room is much higher and therefore, eventually substitutes face to face meetings. And some of the makes are making sure that you do not miss this trend. Check out the season six of 24 where the president of the United States talks to the president of Russia via a telepresence system from Cisco.

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The end of municipal WIFI projects09.11.07

The municipal WIFI projects (basically, blanket a city with free hot spots so everyone can be online for free all the time) have been a topic of discussion since a year ago at work. Obviously, when you make money providing Internet connectivity to consumers, the idea of the city using taxpayers money to provide the same service for free is pretty challenging for your business model. I also defended that those projects were not going to be successful due to the difficulty and cost of covering well enough the city for the service to be useful. At least, not with WIFI technology, WIMAX is a different story but then WIMAX runs in licensed spectrum while WIFI in unlicensed so we are talking about different things here. The last couple of weeks there has been a string of news announcing projects being killed or postpone (Chicago, San Francisco) and more importantly, EarthLink (the main company behind this projects) has announced that it will lay off 900 workers, including the head of the municipal WIFI division. The main reason is that they do not see how to make money with a “free” service (there is no free lunch, remember?). Actually, those projects were never completely free to start with (obviously, being a company involved that is suppose to be there to make money). The idea was that the city puts some money to subsidize part of the cost and then the “free” version was either ad supported or low speed with a higher speed version available for free. Two things have happened, the number of pay subscribers has been generally very low and then to get a decent coverage, they have had to install lots more WIFI receivers than expected. Not surprising, I cannot even get WIFI all over my apartment with just one receiver so I always wonder how they were planning to get coverage throughout a whole city full of buildings like Chicago. Now it seems that they want the city to pay in advance the cost for everything so even if the number of subscribers do not go up to cover costs, the company deploying the service will not lose money. The moment this becomes very expensive for a city, all these projects will end. I think that solutions like the one in NY were you get free WIFI in most of the major city parks are good, they do provide some sort of free connectivity for the citizens but are not too costly for the city.

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Ten Future Web Trends09.11.07

I am no fan of republishing links to other articles but this article of Richard MacManus from the Read/Write Web blog is so right on spot that I wanted to share it with as many people as possible. Many of the topics he is listing are already here in some form or another (virtual worlds, mobile web, RIA, online/Internet TV), some others have been here since ages like AI (btw, mencioning Amazon Mechanical Turk as an example of AI is not correct, as far as I know, there is no articial intelligence involved there) but without becoming mainstream and others like the Semantic Web, everyone talks about but there is no where to be seen yet.

Here is the list of trends, for specifics, read the article:

 

1. Semantic Web

2. Artificial Intelligence

3. Virtual Worlds

4. Mobile Web

5. Attention Economy

6. Web Sites as Web Services

7. Online Video / Internet TV

8. Rich Internet Apps

9. International Web

10. Personalization

 

CD

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Stan Lee Cameos and Mac vs. PC/Marvel vs. PC parodies08.30.07

This summer I have seen two of the latest Marvel flicks, Spiderman 3 and Fantastic Four 2 (disclosure, when I was a kid I was a huge reader of Marvel comics, specially X-Men, Spiderman, Fantastic Four, Daredevil and Conan and I like most of the movies they have made). In both, I clearly recognized Stan Lee doing a cameo (specially in the Spiderman one since he is in a scene talking to Peter Parker) so I went to the web and discovered that he in fact has been doing cameos in most of the movies, some of them very hard to recognized. This YouTube video summarizes most of them.

Incidentally, looking for this video in YouTube I found these set of parodies of the Mac vs. PC Apple ads with Marvel vs. DC, some of them are very funny, just follow this search link and you will get them all.

 

CD

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The iPhone cracking and its business model08.29.07

There are lost of articles these days about the iPhone cracking, how Apple and AT&T are going to react and what that means for the iPhone business model.

One that I read that did not make any sense to me is this one on Cnet. The whole article reads like a big conspiracy theory about the real intentions of Apple with the iPhone. The author claims that since Apple is basically a hardware manufacturer (true to some extent), they are more than happy with the IPhone image being cracked since that will allow them to sell more iPhone. His argument is that the iPhone business model is basically like the iPod where the money is made on selling iPods and not on selling music in iTunes, the fact that you can buy music so easily and cheap on iTunes is just a feature that allows Apple to sell more iPods and according to him. So similarly, according to the aurthor, the revenue deals that Apple has cut with the carries (only AT&T available at the moment but we will see the first european ones before year end) are just a nominal amount compared with the revenue made selling the phone itself. Therefore, following this line of though, Apple will be motivated to leave the iPhone unprotected even if then the carriers will be less motivated to given Apple a piece of the revenue since it will allow Apple to sell more iPhones. I do not agree with this. The music revenue that Apple gets from iTunes is certainly nominal for Apple, not just the revenue but most importantly, the profits it makes selling songs. First, most iPod users never buy any music in iTunes (just do the math on how many iPods are out there and how many songs are sold in iTunes). Second, the margins that Apple must be getting selling music in ITunes are probably very low, better than what other companies make selling music online due to their weight but still low, I guess on the 5% or less when you take into account all the royalties and distributions costs). On the other hand, everytime Apple is selling an iPhone, is going to get some extra revenue out of that user since the iPhone user will certainly have to get a contract with a carrier and if that is the carrier that Apple has negotiated with, then a piece of that revenue will go to Apple (note here that if someone buys the iPhone, cracks it and use it with a carrier that does not have a deal with Apple, Apple gets no money). Second, the revenue that Apple gets from the carrier has 100% margin, it is basically all profits since it carriers no cost for Apple to generate that revenue, only the carrier has the cost of the network, support, etc. So in my view, Apple should be motivated to continue doing for as long as it cans (won’t last forever though), deals like the one it has made with AT&T and get a piece of the carrier revenue. Now the other interesting question is, why the carriers will give revenue to Apple and not to, let´s say, Nokia? Well, it is all about the fuss around iPhone, Apple has made the phone so attractive (and I had one in my hands so I can certify that it is amazing) that end users pay for the device so the carrier saves the subsidy on the phone (the largest user acquisition cost) at the expense of giving a a piece of the revenue to Apple. Now if the iPhone can be easily cracked and freely used with any carrier, I wonder what will be the carriers motivation to give Apple a share of their revenue. So in my opinion, Apple will try to keep the iPhone secure as long as it has these deals with the carriers. It is important to notice as well that even though Apple (or AT&T) cannot do anything legally to stop people cracking the iPhone, they can try to avoid it by updating the iPhone software remotly every time they sync with iTunes or connect to the Internet (something that every iPhone user is going to be doing frequently).

 

CD  

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Las redes sociales están explotando en España08.29.07

Aquí va un post en español para variar un poco.

Llevo un mes en España pero los últimos meses (tres meses diría yo) he empezado a notar un incremento en las peticiones de compañeros, amigos, conocidos (e incluso desconocidos) para unirme a redes sociales. Que me acuerde de memoria, a parte de las usuales peticiones para linkarme en Linkedin (Hector, tuvistes el honor de ser mi link número 300, recuerdame que te invite a una cerveza en Tokyo la próxima vez ;) que parece ser bastente popular entre la gente de Telefónica, me han llegado peticiones para Facebook (la única red social que uso habitualmente ya que creo que es la mejor con diferencia, mas sobre esto en otro post otro día), eConozco, Neurona.com, Xing.com, Myspace, Mipasado.com y Doostang. Si a esto añades peticiones para linkarme en Flickr, es un total de 9 redes sociales diferentes a las que deberia apuntarme para hacer tracking de todo el mundo. Las peticiones me han llegado no solo de los tipicos early adopters, geeks o gente de la industria si no de compañeros o amigos “normales”, es decir gente que hace un uso normal de Internet. Por tanto creo que estamos ante la explosión inminente del uso de las redes sociales en España. Veremos quien sale ganando, yo apuesto por Facebook aunque de momento si miras el tamaño de la Network Spain en Facebook solo tiene 31,091 personas (y entre ellos un montón de extranjeros) con lo cual deben ser de las mas pequeñas y además no está localizado en español lo cual es una barrera para muchos. Y tambien empieza la consolidación, eConozco y Xing estan en proceso de fusión. El valor de una red social crece exponencialmente con el número de usuarios así que aunque Facebook tenga la mejor plataforma y funcionalidad si no espabilan se pueden quedar fuera del mercado español.

 

CD

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Thai Censorship of YouTube08.19.07

While I was in Thailand during my vacations I got an email from Oriol titled “por algo se llama costa brava…” with this link to a YouTube video he published inside http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AAGlpTEnq84 When I clicked on the link this is what I got:

  thai censorship

The message below in English (no idea about the Thai part) says “Sorry! the web site you are accessing has been blocked by ministry of information and communication technology”. Well, I was aware that Thailand political situation had changed since last coup in 2006 but now I experience that myself. The situation in the country does not look that different than in previous trips there (my last one in December 2005) except perhaps for a bit more police and military around (for instance, I do not remember police checking bags in the entrance of public transportation as I saw now in Bangkok) so I wonder what else has changed in terms of human rights and freedom besides blocking YouTube (other lesser known sites were not blocked though).

 

CD

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The Crazy, Messed Up World of Ecommerce08.19.07

Check out this site, it contains some very funny videos about what the world will be if we were shopping offline with all the difficulties that we have online.

My favorite one below about search engine results

 

CD

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  • You Avatar
    I am the director for Internet and Multimedia for Telefónica R&D, based in Barcelona where I managed their R&D center. I have been a bit all over the place for the last 15 years, specially in Tokyo, my favorite town, and finally came back in mid 2006 to my home town. I like everything that has to do with the Internet, computers, software and gadgets, not just the geeky aspect but also the business side. I also love reading (business essays mainly) and TV series and movies as well as having a good dinner and night out with my friends.


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